The 30 Day Cliff Hypothesis
When you work in recruiting you get to see a lot of hiring. Hiring generates data. Data should generate intelligence…. in a perfect world. Wildcog brings you “the 30 day cliff”. It’s a statistical point of no return. Sort of like a recruiting event-horizon. Basically after 30 days “in process” the likelihood that a candidate will accept an offer plunges dramatically. The model isn’t perfect and there are exceptions, such as executive positions, but in general we find the cliff to be a real, observable, recruiting phenomena.
Something is going on here. In passive candidates we think that initial interviews peak their interest in leaving their position and they begin to interview more. In any case, the window to hire someone good seems to be narrow.
Posted: March 29th, 2010 under Uncategorized.
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